Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Panama (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x122d30a80ed10b5d4886350c1da3af6eb3f39339dbb8aeb7fee7a33513673f94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ghanaof Panama, Ghana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Panama | 11c | 29,423$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.8 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Panama | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Panama | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Panama | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed Panama | 11c | 4,962$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.52 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Panama | 11c | 4,951$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.58 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Panama | 13c | 4,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.9 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Panama | 3c | 3,911$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Panama | 11c | 2,672$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.92 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panama | 5c | 2,470$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Panama | 1c | 2,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Panama | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Panama | 10c | 1,899$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Panama | 11c | 1,609$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Panama | 11c | 1,126$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Panama | 10c | 1,018$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panama | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Panama | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Panama | 7c | 999.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Panama | 6c | 936.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Panama | 11c | 553.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Panama | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 212 | 41.5%88 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed Panama | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Panama | 12c | 453.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Panama | 11c | 429.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Panama | 11c | 427.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Panama | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Panama | 10c | 336$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264b…cf7fbacked Panama | 12c | 252.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 36.8%70 W · 120 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Panama | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Panama | 14c | 207.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Panama | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9994…03ddbacked Panama | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…4228backed Panama | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…eac7backed Panama | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Panama | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Panama | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Panama | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Panama | 16c | 123.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Panama | 11c | 121.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5408…590fbacked Panama | 11c | 112.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…e62abacked Panama | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Panama | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Panama | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 158 | 46.2%73 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panama (-1.5)this page
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 2.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 0.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 1.5Under won
- Ghana vs. Panama: Panama O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Panama won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Panama won
- Spread: Ghana (-3.5)Panama won
- Spread: Ghana (-4.5)Panama won
- Spread: Panama (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Panama (-3.5)Ghana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.