TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0f7…eac7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10658.5%62 W · 44 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29%+$27.58
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$35.58
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.14
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$218
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$79
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$76.48
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$134.78
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.3
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$46.6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+32.3%+$34.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.2%+$66.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$127.7
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$34.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+57%+$28.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+266%+$29.07
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon reach $248 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Diner" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+117.2%+$23.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+150.6%+$18.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon State Beavers vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$64.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Disney say "Buyback" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$46.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.