TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oregon State Beavers vs. Portland Pilots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Portland Pilotsof Oregon State Beavers, Portland Pilots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$779,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$766,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $779,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Portland Pilots53c433,056$227,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205,560.535945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Oregon State Beavers47c330,157$155,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155,173.749652.1%50 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Oregon State Beavers48c249,357$119,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,193.2269142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Oregon State Beavers49c149,421$72,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,729.2289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Oregon State Beavers46c18,888$8,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,688.4610045%45 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Portland Pilots54c9,976$5,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,588.8174649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Portland Pilots52c8,532$4,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100.8928539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Oregon State Beavers47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8202759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Portland Pilots53c3,555$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.9912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Portland Pilots58c3,035$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.735,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland Pilots55c2,236$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.814,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oregon State Beavers46c2,199$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.4921754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Portland Pilots62c1,860$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.983,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Portland Pilots54c1,730$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.81,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Oregon State Beavers46c1,576$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.156852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Oregon State Beavers35c1,123$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3932653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oregon State Beavers47c1,020$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.641,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Portland Pilots54c1,000$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1815861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oregon State Beavers49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Oregon State Beavers54c917.63$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.226848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Oregon State Beavers51c913.96$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.451,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Portland Pilots49c633.48$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.944757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Oregon State Beavers27c388.86$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.742327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Oregon State Beavers49c366$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.52,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Portland Pilots43c332.03$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Oregon State Beavers49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14732146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Oregon State Beavers47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.540147.6%191 W · 210 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland Pilots54c249$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.545,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oregon State Beavers36c227.7$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.972,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…22f5backed Oregon State Beavers36c224.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6760%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Portland Pilots54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2249849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…f40ebacked Oregon State Beavers49c196.8$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Portland Pilots55c195.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.249440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oregon State Beavers45c190.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.942,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Portland Pilots54c184.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7621050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Oregon State Beavers44c173.95$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.32,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Oregon State Beavers53c167$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9173549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Oregon State Beavers49c154.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0918046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Portland Pilots54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6915250%76 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Oregon State Beavers70c143.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Portland Pilots33c130$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.45459.3%32 W · 22 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+59.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Portland Pilots52c128.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.713455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Portland Pilots48c124$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.481,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Oregon State Beavers48c110.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1318646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Portland Pilots54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4635243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Oregon State Beavers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Portland Pilots54c93.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.031,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a14…2513backed Portland Pilots56c88.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c2d…8602backed Oregon State Beavers30c85.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Portland Pilots56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3618851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Portland Pilots53c74.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.772,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Oregon State Beavers50c65.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9615844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oregon State Beavers40c65.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.272,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Pilots54c58.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.774,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Oregon State Beavers47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4b…f574backed Oregon State Beavers46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f04…2520backed Portland Pilots33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+115.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Oregon State Beavers28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1434649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa67…281cbacked Oregon State Beavers67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e87…575abacked Oregon State Beavers66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Oregon State Beavers49c48.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9912245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d2…7afcbacked Oregon State Beavers46c43.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Oregon State Beavers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-59.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe33c…6006backed Oregon State Beavers49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…eac7backed Portland Pilots51c40.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Oregon State Beavers46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.411147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Portland Pilots54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0421746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Portland Pilots51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2461446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Portland Pilots37c33.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1d…d031backed Oregon State Beavers47c30.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick51cpaid+68.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Oregon State Beavers39c30.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Portland Pilots53c30.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Oregon State Beavers43c30.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1210437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Portland Pilots39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.459254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Oregon State Beavers53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9412034.2%41 W · 79 L-13.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Oregon State Beavers49c28.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.333452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fe…eff9backed Oregon State Beavers69c28.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Oregon State Beavers43c28.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1336942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x390c…e88ebacked Oregon State Beavers54c24.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234c…b85fbacked Portland Pilots54c23.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e8…1b09backed Portland Pilots51c19.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Portland Pilots55c18.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3319055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oregon State Beavers59c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.591,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4350…8560backed Oregon State Beavers67c17.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.