NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Kings

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bddf526fc942294c0de2fbeaee667d6145fe8cb503ab37bba28be88c539be50

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Kings
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,265,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,322,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,265,350 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 748 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings	14c	150,336$20,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,543.68	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Kings	15c	150,000$22,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,499.99	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings	17c	124,595$21,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,181.12	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Kings	15c	113,753$17,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,250.68	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Kings	17c	57,205$9,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,508.74	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Kings	50c	49,118$24,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,559	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings	14c	39,689$5,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,696.23	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Kings	53c	37,469$19,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,992.22	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	-15.3wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kings	17c	37,384$6,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,315.67	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings	16c	36,721$5,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,848.43	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Kings	15c	29,000$4,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,453.11	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Kings	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Kings	14c	24,202$3,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,388.21	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers	79c	24,000$18,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,040	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers	58c	18,294$10,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,668.59	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers	58c	18,201$10,494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,706.64	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Kings	13c	17,440$2,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,267.2	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers	62c	16,311$10,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,246.53	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings	19c	16,033$3,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,022.93	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Kings	23c	15,845$3,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,587.78	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings	16c	15,250$2,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,440	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Kings	17c	15,000$2,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,486.9	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings	14c	15,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Kings	62c	14,669$9,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,029.29	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacd2…29a2backed Kings	20c	14,494$2,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,857.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	42cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Cavaliers	79c	14,288$11,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,053.57	301	57.1%172 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Cavaliers	71c	13,569$9,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,975.77	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings	29c	13,024$3,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,826.59	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Kings	13c	12,010$1,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,561.3	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Kings	14c	11,810$1,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.4	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings	18c	11,687$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100.11	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings	36c	11,560$4,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,172.26	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9575…e916backed Kings	17c	11,500$1,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings	17c	10,200$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,733.99	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Kings	15c	10,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Kings	15c	9,058$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340.09	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Kings	17c	8,824$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings	25c	7,972$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	65c	7,866$5,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,783.5	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cavaliers	57c	7,373$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,173.4	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Kings	36c	6,894$2,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,507.65	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Kings	12c	6,808$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.13	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Kings	17c	6,500$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Kings	17c	6,137$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,025.64	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Cavaliers	78c	5,477$4,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,215.2	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Kings	21c	5,388$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.58	135	43.7%59 W · 76 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7f…9550backed Cavaliers	70c	5,317$3,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,584.92	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Kings	17c	5,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings	15c	5,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Cavaliers	79c	5,000$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.99	92	60.9%56 W · 36 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Kings	32c	4,965$1,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,606.28	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Kings	14c	4,908$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.64	125	40.8%51 W · 74 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Cavaliers	53c	4,805$2,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,256.07	117	47%55 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Kings	42c	4,749$1,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,986.44	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kings	30c	4,524$1,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.02	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b69…a9f2backed Kings	42c	4,279$1,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,797.07	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kings	24c	4,252$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe71e…8e58backed Kings	19c	4,140$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	27cpaid	+244.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Kings	27c	4,089$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.62	336	32.4%109 W · 227 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Kings	24c	4,059$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.12	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings	7c	4,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings	39c	3,936$1,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,546.64	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Kings	14c	3,897$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.54	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Kings	17c	3,700$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Kings	13c	3,507$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.91	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Cavaliers	65c	3,500$2,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,210.42	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Kings	14c	3,443$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x434c…c096backed Kings	26c	3,390$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.28	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.26per pick	41cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers	47c	3,277$1,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,738.27	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa023…9792backed Cavaliers	63c	3,275$2,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,227.37	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Cavaliers	62c	3,242$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,241.96	259	45.6%118 W · 141 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Cavaliers	74c	3,158$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808	117	66.7%78 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers	64c	3,121$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.21	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Kings	13c	3,103$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.06	176	53.4%94 W · 82 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Kings	16c	3,081$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.44	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Kings	15c	3,043$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.5	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Kings	28c	3,030$848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.41	90	26.7%24 W · 66 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Cavaliers	66c	3,000$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.99	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcf…327ebacked Cavaliers	77c	2,931$2,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.76	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…9828backed Kings	75c	2,880$2,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,168.91	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings	26c	2,798$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.25	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings	16c	2,764$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.98	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings	38c	2,721$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.17	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…a315backed Cavaliers	63c	2,711$1,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.06	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings	15c	2,653$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers	76c	2,603$1,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.61	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Cavaliers	63c	2,600$1,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962	155	49.7%77 W · 78 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Kings	19c	2,591$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings	15c	2,539$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.91	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Kings	31c	2,500$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785	91	17.6%16 W · 75 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe2…7edcbacked Cavaliers	75c	2,500$1,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac87…88c7backed Kings	25c	2,440$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.86	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Kings	22c	2,401$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.88	143	34.3%49 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Kings	27c	2,349$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.66	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Kings	16c	2,230$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.51	334	28.1%94 W · 240 L	-20.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kings	48c	2,089$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Cavaliers	59c	2,043$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.29	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Kings	33c	2,019$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.87	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab44…d88ebacked Kings	16c	2,019$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Cavaliers	50c	2,004$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.94	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+29%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cavaliers vs. Kingsthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Kings won
Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5No won
Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Nique Clifford: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Kings won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Kings won
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Kings won
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Kings won
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Kings won
Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cavaliers vs. Kings

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event