NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x974dece9eee201aae7c89740b84c384609a4d4236ec381e251d3c1fa7b275c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 339,554$176,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,114.41 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 48c | 116,823$56,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,074.85 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 51c | 47,161$24,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,108.82 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 41,841$20,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,232.4 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 59c | 28,837$16,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,890.38 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 22,693$11,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,180.98 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 20,600$9,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,887.84 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 42c | 11,575$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,717.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 3,879$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 52c | 2,081$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.77 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.11 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 57c | 1,653$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,489$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.26 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 43c | 1,431$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.78 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,105$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 44c | 1,091$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.91 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 48c | 1,048$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.96 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 849.56$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed Over | 53c | 618.57$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 442.64$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 409.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Over | 53c | 375.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.26 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 48c | 340.5$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 327.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under | 35c | 299.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 199.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 49c | 192.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Over | 53c | 180.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 47c | 174.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 39c | 161.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Under | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…70a9backed Over | 53c | 136.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…c8f4backed Under | 49c | 136.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 116.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 111.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 54c | 89.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…fdcdbacked Over | 52c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 49c | 74.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 62c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Under | 49c | 62.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 65c | 61.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…13dcbacked Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 34c | 57.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Under | 64c | 56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 52c | 52.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 39c | 51.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5081backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329e…2eafbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -11.5wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Over | 53c | 47.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385d…5e85backed Over | 53c | 42.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…ffacbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…f5f5backed Over | 38c | 40.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812f…bd9dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Under | 66c | 37.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 33c | 37.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Over | 35c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Under | 49c | 34.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 55c | 34.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Under | 49c | 34.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Under | 49c | 34.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 62c | 33.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 49c | 30.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Kings won
- Cavaliers vs. KingsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Kings won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.