TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$443,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$445,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c339,554$176,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163,114.4187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c150,000$72,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under48c116,823$56,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,074.8526753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over51c47,161$24,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,108.8227747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c41,841$20,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,232.41,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Under59c28,837$16,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,890.389350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c22,693$11,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,180.982,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under48c20,600$9,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,887.8451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over42c11,575$4,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,717.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c3,879$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over52c2,081$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.7766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over53c1,698$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.1126640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over57c1,653$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.243,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,489$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.265,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over43c1,431$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.781,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c1,105$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.933,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over44c1,091$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.9123052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.835468.5%37 W · 17 L+9.4wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over48c1,048$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.9662351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over42c849.56$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.086659.1%39 W · 27 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5db5…5df8backed Over53c618.57$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.731838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c442.64$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c409.89$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.824,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e11…45ecbacked Over53c375.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.263060%18 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under48c340.5$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4421937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c327.27$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.452,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under35c299.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9937930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.112,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10441052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c199.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9924946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over43c199.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.25,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0853453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Under77c194.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under49c192.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0253043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Over53c180.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.054351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over47c174.51$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.263,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over39c161.88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.163,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7217747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Under52c145.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.849150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Over53c136.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.566165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0462…c8f4backed Under49c136.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.08825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c116.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c111.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.782,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5242551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09c…d04fbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under54c89.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5914252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…fdcdbacked Over52c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under49c76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2420448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under49c74.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7432346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.791050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Under62c64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.682860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd84…9f62backed Under49c62.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4314352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under65c61.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b14…13dcbacked Over42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under34c57.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7324330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Under64c56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.849259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under52c52.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1710642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Over39c51.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.877855.1%43 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5d…5081backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274050%20 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329e…2eafbacked Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.255322.6%12 W · 41 L-11.5wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under45c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x440a…9599backed Over53c47.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.368441.7%35 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3f…8cd6backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Under50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314751.7%76 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x385d…5e85backed Over53c42.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9900…ffacbacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdda3…f5f5backed Over38c40.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.753040%12 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7653945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x812f…bd9dbacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Under66c37.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over33c37.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Over35c37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.054261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Under49c34.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86241.9%26 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under55c34.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Under49c34.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7616443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Under49c34.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7615040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under62c33.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9257657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under49c30.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0119051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.855644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.425143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.