TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Under49c55,415$27,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,307.419350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Over47c18,188$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,587.737240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Over51c17,647$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,647.0620948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c15,624$7,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,968.381,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Over50c13,108$6,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,536.087536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under50c6,177$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.5938251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c5,830$3,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,083.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c4,818$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over46c4,535$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.1310949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c3,875$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over49c3,800$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.054358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over50c3,501$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.81,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c3,418$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.642,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c3,207$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c2,510$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.772,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over52c2,505$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.2883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f9…54dabacked Over51c2,431$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c2,176$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.588,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c2,121$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.782,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c2,013$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under53c1,833$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.3415141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c1,818$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.372,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c1,631$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over57c1,626$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.3212844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over51c1,500$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7301,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c1,181$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.263,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under49c1,040$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.493,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c950.71$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.373,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c868.54$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.723,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c844$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.881,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under51c750$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.530840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c591.1$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under52c493$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.872,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over52c390$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.21,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c341.01$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c339.31$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.442,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1594953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over47c299.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16091148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over62c216.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.682,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.362351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c204.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.195,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under36c200$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6721642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c199.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over50c196.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0463447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b7…bd2abacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Over51c161.16$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9711748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.822850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over63c159.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4536453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7866646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over67c116.84$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1165542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over48c103.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9953149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under53c93.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1146346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Over51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3930146.2%139 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over38c78.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9455846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Under54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under53c69.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.741,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over56c66.97$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over56c60.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9340849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under51c55.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.191,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under39c54.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1224330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Over47c42.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.349050%45 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Under53c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.264247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under53c40.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over50c40.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2838347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Under45c39.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under51c39.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Under46c38.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5517750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under51c33.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.911,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over61c33.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0122646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over48c27.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.087647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked Under54c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.583551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1345445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…c7e6backed Over47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.253852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…73fbbacked Over58c24.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.551127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under45c23.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over47c21.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6425143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over52c20.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8487453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5caf…cf21backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1060250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.