NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x409097dff165d2f68e13b5b9e5f9a10782016a751610a7f049d3151124b24bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Cavaliers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $455,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Kings | 49c | 336,155$164,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,440.72 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 166,772$85,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,053.59 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 19,919$10,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,109.56 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 18,320$9,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,526.47 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Kings | 51c | 9,815$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.27 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Cavaliers | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.86 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 50c | 7,034$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 6,782$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.14 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 45c | 6,366$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 50c | 4,352$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.01 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Kings | 53c | 4,255$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Kings | 47c | 2,833$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.48 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,822$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,467$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,304$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,128$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,037$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 46c | 1,792$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.35 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 47c | 1,661$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kings | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Kings | 44c | 1,373$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.73 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,271$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.01 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kings | 42c | 1,197$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.98 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Kings | 44c | 1,011$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.39 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Kings | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.08 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Kings | 53c | 975.05$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.23 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 967.65$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Cavaliers | 49c | 864.47$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.59 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Kings | 51c | 799.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Cavaliers | 58c | 689.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Kings | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Kings | 52c | 305.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Kings | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Kings | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Kings | 53c | 258.09$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 252.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cavaliers | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Kings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 46c | 192.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Cavaliers | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings | 47c | 154.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Kings | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 48c | 118.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 45c | 115.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 54c | 104.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Kings | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Cavaliers | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Cavaliers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Cavaliers | 55c | 97.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Cavaliers | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 90.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Kings | 42c | 84.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…e955backed Cavaliers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cavaliers | 47c | 77.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Kings | 35c | 75.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Cavaliers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…ba86backed Cavaliers | 55c | 72.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44e…c6b8backed Cavaliers | 63c | 71.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 51c | 71.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 69.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kings | 49c | 66.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kings | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Cavaliers | 56c | 56.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Cavaliers | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Kings | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…2a96backed Cavaliers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Cavaliers | 53c | 49.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Kings | 43c | 48.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Kings | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Kings | 48c | 40.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Cavaliers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Cavaliers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Kings | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Kings | 51c | 35.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed Kings | 66c | 30.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…4711backed Cavaliers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Kings | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kings | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Kings | 45c | 23.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Kings | 51c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Kings | 49c | 20.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Kings won
- Cavaliers vs. KingsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Kings won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.