NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a95cf73a9ff14c8e03cac6322a2644691825d08a64f9334e4a2b0522b334970
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Cavaliers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers | 50c | 55,196$27,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,598.13 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Kings | 52c | 27,791$14,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,443.35 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 22,500$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Cavaliers | 47c | 19,391$9,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,019.97 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…5d12backed Cavaliers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 9,194$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Kings | 52c | 8,389$4,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.76 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 7,393$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 41c | 7,160$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Kings | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.63 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 52c | 6,800$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 47c | 6,669$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 48c | 6,464$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 5,790$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.2 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings | 53c | 5,472$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.69 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,856$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.26 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 52c | 4,771$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.3 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 52c | 4,649$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.52 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 47c | 4,597$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.61 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,941$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Cavaliers | 47c | 3,537$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.74 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 54c | 3,385$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,610$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.96 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,515$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.82 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kings | 52c | 1,805$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.57 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…844ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,654$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 52c | 1,472$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kings | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 847$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Cavaliers | 48c | 800.61$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.29 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Kings | 52c | 770.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.66 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Kings | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 74c | 647.28$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Cavaliers | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 52c | 584.39$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.51 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…4dd6backed Kings | 54c | 558.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 554.77$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…3c44backed Kings | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 27c | 439.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Kings | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 47c | 330.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Kings | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…8a40backed Kings | 70c | 258.06$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Kings | 53c | 250.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 39c | 245.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…5ba8backed Kings | 52c | 203.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kings | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Kings | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 146.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Kings | 66c | 143.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings | 53c | 108.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Kings | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kings | 63c | 99.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…688dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 81.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kings | 68c | 80.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kings | 52c | 71.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…0da7backed Kings | 70c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Kings | 52c | 63.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…bf5dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Kings | 52c | 57.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c83…3a66backed Cavaliers | 50c | 56.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kings | 71c | 55.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Kings | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Kings | 61c | 45.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Kings | 56c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…b79bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cavaliers | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Kings | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…224dbacked Kings | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Kings | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…b665backed Kings | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7e95backed Kings | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Kings | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Kings | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Kings | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…857fbacked Kings | 57c | 22.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Kings | 56c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Kings | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Kings | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Kings won
- Cavaliers vs. KingsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Kings won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.