NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8331341d73126eef326aaf81fa65100ea295aa2064af3c291264e74481e0428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 53c | 68,714$36,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,295.59 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 57c | 43,795$24,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,827.49 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 31,010$14,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,574.69 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 59c | 20,025$11,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,726.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 17,675$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,805.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 47c | 15,895$7,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,471.75 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 13,672$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Over | 43c | 11,357$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,473.49 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 8,129$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.4 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 39c | 5,523$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 53c | 5,055$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.96 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 4,650$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 4,261$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 44c | 3,421$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.76 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 48c | 3,365$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.72 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 44c | 3,045$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.64 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 35c | 2,304$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.12 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 2,135$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 51c | 1,966$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 1,909$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.11 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 44c | 1,539$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.69 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,441$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.84 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 1,345$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Under | 68c | 1,170$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 1,060$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.16 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 21c | 816.11$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.24 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 794.12$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.12 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 780.75$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.01 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 756$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.04 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 753.48$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.76 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 686.08$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.8 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 52c | 676.2$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.19 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 529.53$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.13 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 47c | 499$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.53 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 50c | 417.4$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Over | 35c | 344.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.26 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 340.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 47c | 263.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Under | 66c | 228.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 65c | 201.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…8b14backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 47c | 170$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 16c | 163.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Under | 56c | 134.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 46c | 134.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Over | 44c | 129.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 52c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 115.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 9c | 109.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 42c | 107.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 55c | 104.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…2669backed Under | 65c | 99.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…c8f4backed Under | 47c | 95.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 33c | 95.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Under | 47c | 83.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 78c | 82.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 64.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 62c | 50.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…951ebacked Under | 60c | 44.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 69c | 44.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 63c | 44.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Under | 53c | 43.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 42.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Under | 47c | 42.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Under | 47c | 42.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…c90fbacked Under | 47c | 40.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 60c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Over | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 47c | 33.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 49c | 32.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 47c | 31.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…b385backed Under | 47c | 30.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…52eabacked Under | 65c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 26.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Over | 55c | 25.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…655abacked Under | 47c | 24.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Under | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 54c | 23.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 65c | 23.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Under | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 61c | 18.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Kings won
- Cavaliers vs. KingsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Kings won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.