NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3754d6ad0515ead0d10c38873eeb42ed80cddf7f203a56af018babdd831f7c13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Under | 51c | 53,335$27,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,394.34 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 37,842$18,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,483.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 25,294$13,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,405.89 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 19,014$9,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,859.95 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 18,497$9,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,247.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 13,568$6,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,029.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 12,237$5,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,767.98 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 49c | 10,159$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.09 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 8,024$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.2 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 47c | 6,170$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.21 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 4,860$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.52 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 4,639$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 4,395$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 47c | 4,023$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.4 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 3,246$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.11 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 47c | 2,940$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.2 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.4 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 1,877$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.8 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,518$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 51c | 1,148$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.45 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 45c | 1,050$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.3 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 52c | 649.04$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.54 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 613$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 594.24$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.66 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 53c | 570.27$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.47 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 45c | 566.67$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 507.5$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.17 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 401$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Over | 49c | 379.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 57c | 353.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 331$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 39c | 292.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 51c | 245$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 202.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 195.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 188.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…bd2abacked Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 166.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 45c | 165.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 50c | 156.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 53c | 114.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Over | 52c | 107.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 53c | 78.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 53c | 69.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 56c | 59.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Under | 50c | 40.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 53c | 35.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Over | 56c | 30.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 49c | 27.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Over | 50c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Over | 50c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…0d3bbacked Under | 56c | 21.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 51c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Kings won
- Cavaliers vs. KingsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Kings won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.