NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c04ebea486e96e9ddfefaed500e722bcfc29b15a3ab3b71005fe27e73c35e25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Cavaliers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 28,725$15,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,784.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Kings | 44c | 15,935$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,923.58 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Kings | 46c | 14,937$6,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,070.23 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Cavaliers | 0c | 11,118$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 7,546$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.38 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 47c | 7,345$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.33 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 54c | 6,189$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 5,364$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.65 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 55c | 4,946$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Kings | 44c | 3,930$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.54 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 2,032$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.75 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Cavaliers | 60c | 2,021$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.27 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Kings | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,945$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.19 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 1,792$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 46c | 1,246$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 49c | 1,008$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.55 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cavaliers | 56c | 947.16$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.41 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 44c | 909.94$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 46c | 896.74$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.24 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 46c | 822$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.88 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 51c | 513.61$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.08 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kings | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Kings | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kings | 47c | 462.19$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…3c44backed Kings | 44c | 451.23$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Kings | 42c | 444$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.22 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Kings | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Cavaliers | 54c | 389.66$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Cavaliers | 54c | 362$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Kings | 46c | 285.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers | 51c | 271.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Cavaliers | 53c | 270.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 262.36$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…b945backed Kings | 47c | 257.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cavaliers | 48c | 243.74$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Kings | 54c | 236.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Kings | 43c | 230.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers | 60c | 188.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 46c | 184.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Cavaliers | 54c | 158.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings | 54c | 157.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed Kings | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cavaliers | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Kings | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 53c | 136.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 54c | 131.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 57c | 127$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cavaliers | 18c | 125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Kings | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kings | 48c | 116.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…97debacked Cavaliers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 55c | 115.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 114.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Kings | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 45c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Kings | 46c | 102.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Kings | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Cavaliers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Kings | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Cavaliers | 55c | 90.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Kings | 54c | 83.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 77.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kings | 40c | 73.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 72.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Kings | 46c | 66.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Cavaliers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Cavaliers | 59c | 53.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Cavaliers | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193e…76ebbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…b908backed Cavaliers | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Kings | 48c | 47.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kings | 65c | 42.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Cavaliers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…ebfabacked Kings | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Kings | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Cavaliers | 56c | 31.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Cavaliers | 61c | 29.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Kings | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Cavaliers | 48c | 25.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Cavaliers | 56c | 21.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cavaliers | 54c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kings | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Cavaliers | 59c | 18.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Kings won
- Cavaliers vs. KingsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Kings won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Kings won
- Zach LaVine: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.