Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6538726497961c635d8b43d6d33048efa41ef66cd54baa272e028424d2ae486b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c6e…8ca3backed No | 0c | 12,224$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…fc1abacked No | 0c | 10,068$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…d7c0backed No | 1c | 7,307$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…97e9backed No | 24c | 5,482$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.8 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed No | 20c | 3,716$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 77c | 3,191$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.76 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 70c | 3,133$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.95 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 68c | 3,007$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.87 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 77c | 1,688$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.4 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 64c | 1,378$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.38 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…59f7backed No | 35c | 1,135$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…3588backed No | 9c | 1,127$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f5…d943backed No | 2c | 1,056$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed No | 53c | 938$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 27c | 929.54$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed No | 70c | 877.83$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 36c | 833.63$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.79 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed Yes | 69c | 786.37$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 55c | 751.68$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.35 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed Yes | 70c | 739.14$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked Yes | 47c | 682$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…975ebacked Yes | 47c | 637$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 53c | 637$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…9d23backed No | 75c | 630.71$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 70c | 488.57$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 74c | 475.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…bc2bbacked Yes | 22c | 450.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +225.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…e06bbacked No | 68c | 440.96$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed No | 79c | 436.81$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 23c | 403$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 45c | 387.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 29c | 368.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…5113backed Yes | 51c | 360$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…e189backed Yes | 51c | 360$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8f…3b96backed No | 49c | 360$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…e6e6backed Yes | 51c | 360$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc830…6453backed Yes | 51c | 360$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…82ebbacked Yes | 51c | 360$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…2da9backed No | 49c | 360$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…8fd5backed No | 49c | 360$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5075backed No | 49c | 360$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…30e6backed No | 49c | 360$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 36c | 356.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.27 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed No | 37c | 355.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.33 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -8.8wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…cbedbacked Yes | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…4875backed Yes | 51c | 350$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c2…4230backed Yes | 51c | 350$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503b…2cadbacked No | 49c | 350$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…c452backed No | 49c | 350$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…6156backed Yes | 51c | 350$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…24e3backed Yes | 51c | 350$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…36e2backed No | 49c | 350$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…3b34backed No | 49c | 350$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bd…47cbbacked No | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…de22backed No | 23c | 349.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -8.6wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f7…6764backed Yes | 70c | 329.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x760a…c0cbbacked No | 61c | 327.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 322.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked No | 77c | 320$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 23c | 318$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 49c | 310.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 34c | 297.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.31 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…125fbacked No | 51c | 295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3428…1c71backed No | 51c | 295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…48a7backed Yes | 49c | 295$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…419cbacked Yes | 49c | 295$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…ad7dbacked Yes | 49c | 295$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…4e4abacked Yes | 49c | 295$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…289dbacked Yes | 49c | 295$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…9d13backed No | 51c | 295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…ec3fbacked No | 51c | 295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…4104backed No | 51c | 295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 69c | 287.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…7434backed Yes | 51c | 285$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…089ebacked Yes | 51c | 285$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…1530backed Yes | 51c | 285$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…7ff3backed No | 49c | 285$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…ce27backed No | 49c | 285$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d0f9backed Yes | 51c | 285$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…4925backed Yes | 51c | 285$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…b2cebacked No | 49c | 285$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…ffaabacked No | 49c | 285$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…e176backed No | 49c | 285$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 25c | 281.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 38c | 257$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.34 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed No | 62c | 257$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 47c | 256$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 39c | 255.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…3b73backed Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…e29dbacked Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…8ff9backed Yes | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…d560backed Yes | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e0…4bc5backed Yes | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…6dbebacked Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…0cd8backed Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…939cbacked Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d8…7c5abacked Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…9628backed Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…6e8dbacked Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…5ef3backed Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.