Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x253b738101e57b5c92f586630d4a5891c3ac880d94e024ba3906e65d9b44d587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6988…9f4ebacked No | 74c | 4,645$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e90…5bd6backed No | 1c | 3,082$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,749$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.53 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…224cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,364$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 21cpaid | +555.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,231$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.13 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 36c | 1,206$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.71 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…0932backed No | 11c | 1,188$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 72c | 1,116$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.75 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 36c | 1,026$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 63c | 916$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 69c | 836.71$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.74 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed Yes | 37c | 790$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…e702backed No | 75c | 749.79$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 30c | 733.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.09 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…e80fbacked No | 71c | 704.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 21c | 665.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.13 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 61c | 620.1$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.33 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 2c | 587.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…00dabacked Yes | 63c | 535.58$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…2e44backed Yes | 29c | 511.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.19 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7b…7d59backed No | 67c | 483.25$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 63c | 473.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…0de7backed Yes | 35c | 415.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…03ffbacked Yes | 26c | 391.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 28c | 351.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.62 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Yes | 45c | 348$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked No | 55c | 348$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 24c | 319.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…ef31backed No | 66c | 311.56$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.96 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c7e7backed Yes | 33c | 291.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.31 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…bd79backed Yes | 51c | 287.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 68c | 280$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe124…9d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 278.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 55c | 277.09$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…f2f3backed No | 74c | 275.3$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…6108backed Yes | 36c | 275$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed No | 64c | 275$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 20c | 269.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.35 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 268.13$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 25c | 253.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 30c | 250$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 244.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…4b34backed Yes | 79c | 240.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed Yes | 33c | 239.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…4c39backed No | 63c | 219.95$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…0a31backed Yes | 24c | 219.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…5813backed No | 62c | 208.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…fc65backed Yes | 51c | 194.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 28c | 191.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…59e9backed No | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked Yes | 26c | 164.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…d644backed Yes | 27c | 164.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 37c | 161.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 201 | 31.8%64 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 67c | 160$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…a4c0backed Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 26c | 159.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…bf6fbacked No | 71c | 150$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…9e6dbacked No | 68c | 146.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 28c | 143.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 34c | 140$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…43a9backed No | 77c | 138.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 134$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 38c | 132.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…44c4backed No | 67c | 132$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 126.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 37c | 126$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 19c | 124.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 165 | 7.3%12 W · 153 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…19d1backed No | 60c | 123.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed Yes | 33c | 121.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed Yes | 22c | 120$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…23bebacked Yes | 42c | 118.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 114.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…b068backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…0f2bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…0ce2backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…c510backed Yes | 53c | 95.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…0b8dbacked Yes | 18c | 94.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda7…85e6backed No | 77c | 90.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 28c | 89.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…0a74backed Yes | 44c | 89.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 71c | 87.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…20d4backed Yes | 28c | 80.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…22e4backed Yes | 40c | 79.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +11.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…5ed0backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed No | 69c | 77.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 24c | 73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 202 | 35.6%72 W · 130 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 24c | 72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 35c | 70.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…1e59backed No | 58c | 68.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 41c | 66.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…d883backed No | 61c | 65.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +15.2wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.