Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07ee718ab5aec244a2b9ea5f66a79736605fcd0f3bfbbfce13220a186d27cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdecf…c4b7backed Yes | 5c | 4,645$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…2febbacked Yes | 1c | 3,970$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -58%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…d3bebacked Yes | 2c | 3,677$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 3,619$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yes | 7c | 3,356$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 3c | 3,041$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…8832backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,578$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.08 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…a2e0backed Yes | 4c | 2,498$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 86 | 7%6 W · 80 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…97e9backed Yes | 18c | 2,472$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.22 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…fc1abacked Yes | 19c | 2,099$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 2c | 2,081$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9effbacked Yes | 12c | 1,780$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 1,774$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,770$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 1,507$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 6c | 1,475$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…af16backed Yes | 6c | 1,449$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Yes | 53c | 1,411$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.18 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f56…2a4cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,277$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.14 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 1,232$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…0f21backed Yes | 2c | 1,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 1,077$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.17 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…23aebacked Yes | 3c | 1,056$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x303d…a1c9backed Yes | 4c | 1,020$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 15c | 1,002$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13c…4af2backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…b7cfbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…9ad6backed Yes | 5c | 999.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +10.0wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 74c | 803.43$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.9 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…70c3backed Yes | 5c | 800.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 53c | 794$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.18 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 48c | 775$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Yes | 48c | 772$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed Yes | 46c | 758$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…4f2abacked Yes | 5c | 737.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 736.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 2c | 709.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed Yes | 32c | 701$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…13a7backed Yes | 3c | 681.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed No | 52c | 639$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 38c | 624$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…ad86backed Yes | 47c | 558$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Yes | 47c | 552.15$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13b…c6fabacked Yes | 20c | 544.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 534.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…05b3backed Yes | 4c | 530.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed No | 54c | 489$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 9c | 478.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…28bebacked Yes | 22c | 457.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…6342backed Yes | 12c | 454.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked No | 52c | 453$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…3b61backed Yes | 48c | 451.59$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 56c | 443$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed No | 62c | 441$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed No | 71c | 425.34$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa6…e8b6backed Yes | 15c | 422.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…11e3backed Yes | 4c | 417.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 72c | 414.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 9c | 399.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 24c | 367.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 48c | 351$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…3588backed No | 57c | 350.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…3db4backed Yes | 4c | 347.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 61c | 346.05$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.17 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…7331backed Yes | 4c | 328.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked No | 68c | 327$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Yes | 13c | 317.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…36dfbacked Yes | 52c | 314.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…9991backed Yes | 9c | 308.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +317.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 64c | 307.4$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb3…0747backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…26afbacked Yes | 16c | 295.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…16bdbacked Yes | 24c | 289.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x104d…4a52backed Yes | 5c | 281.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…59c7backed Yes | 33c | 267.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 164 | 17.7%29 W · 135 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…5968backed Yes | 35c | 266.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc9…63b2backed Yes | 41c | 265.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed No | 53c | 255$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 26c | 228.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked No | 68c | 227$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 53c | 222$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…15babacked No | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…2b33backed No | 40c | 220$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 54c | 207$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 45c | 204.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 46c | 200.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 35c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…c5a4backed Yes | 37c | 194.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…e685backed Yes | 49c | 191.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 22c | 189.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 14c | 185.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 40c | 176.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf4…5ce0backed No | 53c | 170.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed No | 59c | 168.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…8510backed Yes | 24c | 163.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…fc0dbacked Yes | 19c | 162.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 26, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.