TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c24…b10e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4219%8 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.96
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+239.5%+$33.41
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.02
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$138.07
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+170.5%+$51.16
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$44.64
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+131.8%+$45.24
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.89
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$44.29
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$27.56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+387.6%+$130.15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+217.7%+$44.58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.43
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+106%+$45.58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+203%+$30.45
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+136.6%+$39.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 24 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-69.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+126%+$39.82
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+277.1%+$83.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.5%+$24.04
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+170.3%+$20.43
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+255.5%+$51.1
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+156.6%+$42.27
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+171.4%+$20.57
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.77
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+282%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+282%+$71.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.