Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeffa88c1744334b7cbd3c1f825f177adaa19d07d88da59da3b263b9ce7675310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8278…9464backed Yes | 20c | 1,020$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 1c | 999.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 11c | 999.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 27c | 837.28$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.12 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…9dbabacked Yes | 5c | 707.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 22c | 649.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 5c | 613.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ce…e90bbacked Yes | 28c | 540.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 29c | 436.15$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 23c | 404.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…03f1backed Yes | 23c | 404.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Yes | 22c | 394.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 28c | 390.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed Yes | 19c | 390$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 15c | 376.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 78c | 338.41$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 18c | 309.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 303.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…a612backed No | 79c | 298$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 79c | 279.43$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…bc71backed Yes | 20c | 259.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfca3…93eabacked Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9652…1ab4backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -81%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 30c | 231.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 32c | 222$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 19c | 210.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…7d41backed Yes | 14c | 195.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 66c | 193.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…5aa7backed Yes | 15c | 179.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…9e6fbacked Yes | 26c | 172.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3984…20e8backed Yes | 16c | 171.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 76c | 152.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 147.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 23c | 133.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…68dcbacked Yes | 27c | 133.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…2cfebacked Yes | 19c | 132.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…c523backed No | 77c | 130.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 12c | 129.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd850…d8dcbacked Yes | 23c | 128.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…bda3backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 16c | 125.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 22c | 125.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 26c | 125.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 14c | 116.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…8a6cbacked Yes | 27c | 109.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 72c | 109.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…799ebacked Yes | 20c | 108.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 15c | 103.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -10.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 78c | 95.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 24c | 93.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 79c | 90.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 19c | 83.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 71c | 80.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…471abacked No | 77c | 77.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…844fbacked Yes | 19c | 76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…1f7abacked Yes | 28c | 75.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +17.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a8…12eabacked No | 75c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…07f8backed No | 73c | 74.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 74c | 67.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 72c | 65.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 79c | 60.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 60.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 24c | 60.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa301…b4efbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…09ddbacked No | 78c | 52.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…1ccdbacked Yes | 35c | 49.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 23c | 49.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…1241backed No | 71c | 48.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed No | 75c | 47.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d38…824cbacked Yes | 27c | 44.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46a7…7860backed No | 79c | 40.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…665dbacked No | 74c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 27c | 37.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 34c | 36.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…b136backed Yes | 30c | 34.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…496fbacked No | 76c | 34.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…100abacked No | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…1af7backed No | 79c | 27.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…2217backed No | 76c | 27.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 67c | 24.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…5584backed No | 80c | 19.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…c287backed No | 79c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…6291backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 78c | 13.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on February 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.