TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x968b…e4c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
220
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST7334.2%25 W · 48 L-10.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Weather — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+60.8%+$6.69
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$65.73
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+114.3%+$24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+247.8%+$71.24
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$368.47
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.56
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$31.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+174.9%+$49.74
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$105.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.6%+$32.69
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT6943.5%30 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+257.1%+$72
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$25.8
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+244.8%+$92.3
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.4
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+194.1%+$85.8
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+163.2%+$55.8
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35.49
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Idaho Vandals vs. Sacramento State Hornetsbacked Sacramento State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.73
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+312.4%+$60.6
Providence Friars vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Rider Broncsbacked Rider Broncs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Monmouth Hawks vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Austin Peay Governors vs. North Florida Ospreysbacked North Florida Ospreys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$187.8
Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Samford Bulldogs vs. The Citadel Bulldogsbacked The Citadel Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Utah Utes vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.14
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Belmont Bruins vs. Murray State Racersbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$81.8
Columbia Lions vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$18.9
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.37
Oregon State Beavers vs. San Francisco Donsbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Omaha Mavericksbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+233.3%+$28
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Central Michigan Chippewasbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$34.9
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$45.05
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25.3%+$10.1
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.85
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.