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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver Pioneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Denver Pioneersof South Dakota State Jackrabbits, Denver Pioneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Denver Pioneers46c25,799$11,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,041.1230249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits53c7,983$4,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,268.512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits54c5,723$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.35,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c3,719$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06027450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits47c3,658$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.675,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits54c3,330$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.481,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits54c3,187$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.3774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Denver Pioneers47c2,500$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.4961652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Denver Pioneers46c1,999$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.512,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits25c1,644$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.361,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Denver Pioneers51c1,478$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.593,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Denver Pioneers48c899.99$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46837142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c895$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.2532751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits52c888.55$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.051,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits56c806.18$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.7999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits52c636.09$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.771,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits29c587.69$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.034,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits5c500$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.672748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Denver Pioneers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25081453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Denver Pioneers78c413.26$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.543,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits27c298.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.772,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Denver Pioneers77c249.74$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.441,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits54c225$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.252,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Denver Pioneers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Denver Pioneers49c200$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1032,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c165.82$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.225544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c158$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Denver Pioneers44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8427048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits53c139.34$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3414854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe86d…c9eebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits56c122.79$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.763473.5%25 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Denver Pioneers48c113.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3599045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c112.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits28c105.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.891,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c104.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.51,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Denver Pioneers79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Denver Pioneers49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Denver Pioneers51c98.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1612655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c98.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Denver Pioneers78c92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits35c89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9825246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits50c84.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.052,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits25c78.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abc…509cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits26c75.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.271,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits23c59.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Denver Pioneers68c57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9819138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd2…a7aebacked Denver Pioneers47c52.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x313c…61d9backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits27c40.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cb6…ff78backed Denver Pioneers80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c33.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6221651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits55c31.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Denver Pioneers47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.913928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Denver Pioneers80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968b…e4c5backed Denver Pioneers72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Denver Pioneers45c29.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee60…c898backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits51c29.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits54c26.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.092669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.452353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x943a…8234backed Denver Pioneers79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21090%9 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick74cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.