Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f1f1753c2e0f60d2fa03783d6a10a4e0641e97c9af9736925eed86a34ea3c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Denver Pioneersof South Dakota State Jackrabbits, Denver Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 52c | 3,363$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 1,597$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Denver Pioneers | 49c | 1,250$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.49 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 51c | 425.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Denver Pioneers | 49c | 331$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Denver Pioneers | 48c | 323.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 316.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Denver Pioneers | 52c | 188.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 48c | 185.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Denver Pioneers | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 53c | 106.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 51c | 66.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…97d5backed Denver Pioneers | 48c | 50.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-1.5)this page
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver PioneersDenver Pioneers won
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver Pioneers: O/U 157.5Under won
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver Pioneers: O/U 158.5Under won
- Spread: Denver Pioneers (-1.5)Denver Pioneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.