Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver Pioneers: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe3b50290bdb00c59bc3fc51853db99145da7265d013e585751d66c6fd10532d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 52c | 72,994$37,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,833.64 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 31,000$15,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,960 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 49c | 20,047$9,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,320.59 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 8,044$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.07 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.99 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.7 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.67 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 46c | 825$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 49c | 810.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.33 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 606$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.63 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 585.5$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 465$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 438$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.38 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 49c | 433.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.43 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 48c | 155$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 149.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 88.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 61c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e4abbacked Over | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 37.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver Pioneers: O/U 158.5this page
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver PioneersDenver Pioneers won
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Denver Pioneers: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Denver Pioneers (-1.5)Denver Pioneers won
- Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-1.5)Denver Pioneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.