TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah State Aggies vs. Nevada Wolf Pack

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nevada Wolf Packof Utah State Aggies, Nevada Wolf Pack
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Utah State Aggies76c9,234$7,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,032.811,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack20c3,398$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.514,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nevada Wolf Pack32c3,127$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.721118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Utah State Aggies71c2,817$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.652,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nevada Wolf Pack20c2,138$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.935,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack32c1,861$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.232,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Nevada Wolf Pack26c1,822$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.7355840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Utah State Aggies72c1,780$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.223,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Utah State Aggies68c1,704$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.721,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah State Aggies73c1,432$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.685,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Utah State Aggies32c1,235$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Nevada Wolf Pack28c1,114$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.011,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Utah State Aggies48c1,026$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.412,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Utah State Aggies16c1,007$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Nevada Wolf Pack39c947.91$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.742,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ce…e4b0backed Nevada Wolf Pack32c937.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.61742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Utah State Aggies71c881.65$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.5887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Nevada Wolf Pack26c799.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.543450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah State Aggies79c772.97$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.191,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Utah State Aggies13c688.31$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6869142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Utah State Aggies25c613.24$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nevada Wolf Pack33c605.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.011,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Nevada Wolf Pack30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Utah State Aggies70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Utah State Aggies5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.524121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b84…48e3backed Nevada Wolf Pack22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.555427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack25c405.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.742740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack70c399.2$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.21457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah State Aggies19c326$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.251,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Utah State Aggies72c321.11$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.523,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nevada Wolf Pack22c310.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.311,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Nevada Wolf Pack34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack35c289.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.011,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Nevada Wolf Pack20c263.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7336535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Utah State Aggies64c260.91$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0714049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Utah State Aggies30c256$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.884854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Nevada Wolf Pack20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies67c245.29$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Nevada Wolf Pack33c239$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3249747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Utah State Aggies68c233.06$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4174152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Utah State Aggies67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nevada Wolf Pack28c200.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.434,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Nevada Wolf Pack33c199.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Nevada Wolf Pack77c174.35$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8117062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nevada Wolf Pack72c166.37$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6913956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Nevada Wolf Pack25c150$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.55939%23 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Utah State Aggies71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Nevada Wolf Pack49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Utah State Aggies68c137.23$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.322334.8%8 W · 15 L-6.3wins-0.27per pick62cpaid-49.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nevada Wolf Pack20c107.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.311,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah State Aggies74c104.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.133,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Nevada Wolf Pack19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8125325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7433…7851backed Utah State Aggies30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c82…dca9backed Utah State Aggies62c95.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Nevada Wolf Pack70c86.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.864037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Utah State Aggies53c82.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.457746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Utah State Aggies68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Utah State Aggies30c58.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.813554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Utah State Aggies69c58.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nevada Wolf Pack47c57.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.021,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Utah State Aggies31c57.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.686549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Utah State Aggies71c53.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Nevada Wolf Pack71c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6727358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x968b…e4c5backed Utah State Aggies26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nevada Wolf Pack57c47.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.541,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Nevada Wolf Pack49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+88.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Nevada Wolf Pack30c39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.322953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Utah State Aggies56c37.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.191,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Utah State Aggies78c35.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Nevada Wolf Pack74c34.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0114930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Utah State Aggies75c34.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6212…4eb3backed Utah State Aggies67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206936.2%25 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Nevada Wolf Pack42c27.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1310347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1d…0b3fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack41c27.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.02757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Utah State Aggies61c22.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Utah State Aggies79c22.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.549849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Utah State Aggies53c21.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2910252%53 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Utah State Aggies79c19.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0410353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Utah State Aggies80c14.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.887176.1%54 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.