TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x350b…41e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.96
Seattle Redhawks vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+263.2%+$52.35
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.9%+$337.25
Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$157.84
Rhode Island Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$453.7
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
Lipscomb Bisons vs. West Georgia Wolvesbacked West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$342.76
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladinsbacked The Citadel Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.87
Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32.3%+$258.63
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$572.55
Buffalo Bulls vs. Akron Zipsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$109.67
Duke Blue Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.9
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.87
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Grambling State Tigersbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$491.54
Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+194.6%+$234.52
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+50.9%+$196.65
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Towson Tigers (-2.5)backed Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+26.5%+$193.88
Towson Tigers vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.9%+$199.64
Iona Gaels vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+55.8%+$55.83
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Rider Broncs: O/U 130.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.1%+$33.49
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-4.5)backed UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$127.07
UAB Blazers vs. Memphis Tigersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78%+$545.85
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+468.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+468.1%+$861.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Clube do Remo vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$53.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.