TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Iona Gaels vs. Merrimack College Warriors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Merrimack College Warriorsof Iona Gaels, Merrimack College Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Merrimack College Warriors74c18,566$13,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9031,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Iona Gaels32c8,920$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.444146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Merrimack College Warriors78c4,420$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.491,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Merrimack College Warriors55c3,943$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.283,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Iona Gaels28c3,677$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.235,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Iona Gaels22c3,187$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.1430249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Iona Gaels25c2,773$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.3512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Merrimack College Warriors75c2,333$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.252,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Iona Gaels50c2,123$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.224444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Iona Gaels7c2,059$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Merrimack College Warriors77c1,989$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.051,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Iona Gaels28c1,954$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.971,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Merrimack College Warriors76c1,182$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.872,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Iona Gaels24c1,061$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.236642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Iona Gaels6c1,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Merrimack College Warriors76c981.97$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.61,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Iona Gaels10c963.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Merrimack College Warriors58c885$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.3193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Iona Gaels24c713.59$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2689645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Merrimack College Warriors40c605.55$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.752,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Iona Gaels22c529.61$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8917627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Iona Gaels24c519.58$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Iona Gaels41c519.02$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21523149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Merrimack College Warriors48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26025325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Merrimack College Warriors75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Iona Gaels21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Iona Gaels25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Merrimack College Warriors45c382.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.441,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Merrimack College Warriors38c345.2$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.831,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Iona Gaels55c335.54$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.031,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Iona Gaels23c312.67$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Merrimack College Warriors79c304.22$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Iona Gaels22c299.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.552,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Iona Gaels26c297.86$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4424737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels23c217.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Iona Gaels61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Iona Gaels24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Iona Gaels25c179.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0842339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Merrimack College Warriors64c155.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.834057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Iona Gaels13c152.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8210347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Iona Gaels18c138.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.416549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb127…b8a2backed Merrimack College Warriors77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871471.4%10 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Iona Gaels25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Iona Gaels31c100.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15b8…89e4backed Iona Gaels23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Iona Gaels25c99.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Iona Gaels26c98.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.484,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1877…78d7backed Iona Gaels40c85.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Iona Gaels42c77.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.849056.7%51 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26a4…5593backed Merrimack College Warriors70c71.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434b…adb4backed Merrimack College Warriors77c70.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.13366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaaa…a300backed Merrimack College Warriors73c66.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick76cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Merrimack College Warriors75c64.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.223053.3%16 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Merrimack College Warriors64c63.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Iona Gaels25c61.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.454,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Iona Gaels22c61.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6535852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Iona Gaels23c61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0349157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Iona Gaels26c60.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.761,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Iona Gaels24c60.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.548359%49 W · 34 L+11.5wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Iona Gaels23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Iona Gaels24c58.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5197…1992backed Merrimack College Warriors56c58.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+93.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Iona Gaels26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Iona Gaels41c53.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.897247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iona Gaels20c52.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.691,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Merrimack College Warriors76c52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4843053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Iona Gaels40c51.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.712853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Iona Gaels24c50.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1721152.1%110 W · 101 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45be…9b55backed Merrimack College Warriors74c41.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.682792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+41%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xc4db…e5fbbacked Merrimack College Warriors60c33.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Merrimack College Warriors77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.472445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Iona Gaels34c30.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.391030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60f…5f70backed Merrimack College Warriors68c29.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Merrimack College Warriors75c26.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4982846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46b2…ae1ebacked Merrimack College Warriors80c25.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Merrimack College Warriors76c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Merrimack College Warriors77c22.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.086566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x734c…94dfbacked Merrimack College Warriors77c20.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Merrimack College Warriors76c16.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8627055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Merrimack College Warriors77c15.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4630945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e10…012bbacked Merrimack College Warriors75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.