Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa232abb010144b9b150ef91af3092aa8608cedfdd32f4c88bb605d882647570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iona Gaelsof Merrimack College Warriors, Iona Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Iona Gaels | 55c | 26,554$14,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,957.81 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 19,767$8,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,895.01 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 10,415$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Iona Gaels | 52c | 5,597$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.14 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 3,333$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.95 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Iona Gaels | 54c | 1,836$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.45 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 753.11$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Iona Gaels | 54c | 642.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.56 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Iona Gaels | 52c | 610.58$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 505.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 495.63$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Merrimack College Warriors | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Iona Gaels | 40c | 188.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…7851backed Merrimack College Warriors | 60c | 187.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Iona Gaels | 45c | 132.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 89.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Iona Gaels | 51c | 86.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 57.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 31.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Iona Gaels | 53c | 23.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iona Gaels | 52c | 20.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-7.5)this page
- Iona Gaels vs. Merrimack College WarriorsMerrimack College Warriors won
- Iona Gaels vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 136.5Over won
- Iona Gaels vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 137.5Over won
- Iona Gaels vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.