TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Seattle Redhawks vs. Loyola Marymount Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Redhawksof Seattle Redhawks, Loyola Marymount Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Marymount Lions48c19,390$9,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,221.685,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Seattle Redhawks69c16,125$11,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,954.93040%12 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Seattle Redhawks43c8,604$3,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,886.1849345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Loyola Marymount Lions0c7,060$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.931747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Loyola Marymount Lions51c4,384$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.162,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Loyola Marymount Lions38c3,875$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.0846446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Loyola Marymount Lions60c3,242$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.951,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Seattle Redhawks34c3,032$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.34057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Redhawks65c2,399$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.122,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Loyola Marymount Lions47c1,836$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.481,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Seattle Redhawks68c1,605$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.082,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Redhawks32c1,533$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.061,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Loyola Marymount Lions7c1,398$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7613845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Loyola Marymount Lions38c1,373$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.452,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Loyola Marymount Lions38c1,305$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Seattle Redhawks31c1,188$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.591,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Seattle Redhawks39c1,140$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.7770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Seattle Redhawks33c1,074$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.7612230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Redhawks36c1,021$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.374,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Redhawks68c972.13$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.551,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Loyola Marymount Lions68c750$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Loyola Marymount Lions61c735.59$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7272248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Loyola Marymount Lions65c598.23$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.882050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Loyola Marymount Lions33c592.22$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2118439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions52c481.79$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Loyola Marymount Lions53c471.98$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.193,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions50c410$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Seattle Redhawks50c323.04$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.923,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Seattle Redhawks50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Seattle Redhawks35c299.17$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5742934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Loyola Marymount Lions47c284.46$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.971,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Loyola Marymount Lions35c267.85$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7522157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions64c251.95$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2574152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Seattle Redhawks40c247.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7440252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Loyola Marymount Lions61c234.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7912045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked Loyola Marymount Lions50c228.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Redhawks49c207.44$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.53,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Seattle Redhawks49c202.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.091,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Loyola Marymount Lions51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10257448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Seattle Redhawks50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1310150.5%51 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions61c197.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.283342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Seattle Redhawks55c155.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6124951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Loyola Marymount Lions68c145.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2417062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Redhawks44c141.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.91,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Loyola Marymount Lions38c130.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.599711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Seattle Redhawks44c109.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Loyola Marymount Lions49c106.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5384854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed Seattle Redhawks35c104.87$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.172532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Loyola Marymount Lions52c99.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.416721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Redhawks50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.561,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Seattle Redhawks50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5683350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb89…ec39backed Seattle Redhawks50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.562763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a7f…85c3backed Seattle Redhawks50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.562744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Seattle Redhawks50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.561,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Seattle Redhawks67c94.81$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5927055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…7684backed Seattle Redhawks35c85.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Seattle Redhawks34c77.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0864647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Marymount Lions50c72.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.235,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Seattle Redhawks28c72.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.354057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1035…e012backed Seattle Redhawks79c59.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.453100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Loyola Marymount Lions67c59.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8933445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2c…0d72backed Loyola Marymount Lions59c54.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.931020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Loyola Marymount Lions55c54.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4729954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Seattle Redhawks68c50.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.454,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Loyola Marymount Lions25c49.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.363452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Loyola Marymount Lions50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Seattle Redhawks51c48.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8115246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Seattle Redhawks38c45.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.311,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4d22…102bbacked Seattle Redhawks30c42.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+67.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Seattle Redhawks44c41.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.142254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Loyola Marymount Lions72c41.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.794946.9%23 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Loyola Marymount Lions44c39.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4719348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Loyola Marymount Lions50c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8358652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Loyola Marymount Lions55c36.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.041,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x723c…30d3backed Loyola Marymount Lions47c34.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e57…6570backed Loyola Marymount Lions48c24.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Seattle Redhawks50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9f…3544backed Seattle Redhawks57c17.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.476100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.