Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Valley Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea4f03e1a1b83aecca167fc9259d05629c61e5a7f1a8fc6c75a4d850fb5b7ee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Valley Wolverinesof Tarleton State Texans, Utah Valley Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Tarleton State Texans | 8c | 3,880$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.63 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…41e8backed Tarleton State Texans | 7c | 2,304$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Tarleton State Texans | 8c | 602.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Tarleton State Texans | 29c | 453.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tarleton State Texans | 7c | 389.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tarleton State Texans | 17c | 356.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 7c | 308.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tarleton State Texans | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 70c | 275.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tarleton State Texans | 8c | 259.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 20c | 213.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tarleton State Texans | 8c | 199.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 7c | 199.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…4199backed Tarleton State Texans | 10c | 194.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Tarleton State Texans | 8c | 149.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 77c | 138.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tarleton State Texans | 11c | 104.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Tarleton State Texans | 13c | 80.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 69c | 56.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Tarleton State Texans | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 30.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesthis page
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-16.5)Tarleton State Texans won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-17.5)Tarleton State Texans won
- Tarleton State Texans vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 141.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.