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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Eastern Michigan Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles8c14,851$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.1681528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles9c14,662$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.895,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles17c7,454$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.0112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles18c6,117$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.921,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks80c2,343$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.6389645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles19c1,569$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Michigan Eagles7c1,371$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.954,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles1c1,363$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-83.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles16c1,333$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2375447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles16c699.04$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Eastern Michigan Eagles17c692.37$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.725946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Eastern Michigan Eagles8c606.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.874057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Eastern Michigan Eagles17c601.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5225049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Eastern Michigan Eagles16c589.71$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.353844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8513936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles18c499.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Eastern Michigan Eagles11c467.72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.533,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles19c374.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7093941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Eastern Michigan Eagles19c359.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2924737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles10c321.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Eastern Michigan Eagles20c298.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6614244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3df…beefbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles17c295.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Eastern Michigan Eagles20c287.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.612141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles18c222.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0550548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles8c205.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles15c199.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.921,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Eastern Michigan Eagles20c194.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8224649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Eastern Michigan Eagles19c179.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.181,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles19c166.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.790645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles16c124.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9135646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3395…7c66backed Eastern Michigan Eagles19c122.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Eastern Michigan Eagles19c104.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9541554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Eastern Michigan Eagles17c100.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6849157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Eastern Michigan Eagles18c86.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3970936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc513…0918backed Eastern Michigan Eagles18c82.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Eastern Michigan Eagles18c81.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.084153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles16c77.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dae…439abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles16c64.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4953…eeccbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles20c64.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles16c63.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1920834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedcc…6211backed Eastern Michigan Eagles20c52.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+50.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.