Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1f5fbc2a860c999157686ef6e7f71edb981d63765d482d938d7f5c3f6d949e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 47c | 19,848$9,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,329.5 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 10,021$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.59 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 6,584$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.96 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 56c | 6,531$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.64 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 47c | 5,277$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.4 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 3,060$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.16 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 3,013$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.85 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 53c | 2,186$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.34 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 2,044$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.33 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,972$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 1,840$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.46 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 1,781$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.26 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 580.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.51 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 461.43$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.49 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 388.57$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 258$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Under | 55c | 222.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…e0c2backed Under | 55c | 216.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Under | 55c | 212.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 52c | 188.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 55c | 177.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 153.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 50c | 151.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 53c | 128.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 55c | 99.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 55c | 94.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 49c | 74.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…221dbacked Under | 53c | 73.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Over | 48c | 72.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 69.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 52c | 40.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 55c | 33.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Over | 48c | 28.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Over | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…825fbacked Under | 49c | 22.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0929…b2d5backed Over | 52c | 21.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 153.5this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Eastern Michigan EaglesMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-10.5)Eastern Michigan Eagles won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-8.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.