TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawksof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Eastern Michigan Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaca2…b9a1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c27,931$14,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,849.4441752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e1…cdcdbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks47c12,601$5,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,678.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Eastern Michigan Eagles50c11,717$5,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,841.5274649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles49c11,467$5,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,668.0512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Eastern Michigan Eagles53c10,097$5,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,351.4736944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks52c6,467$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.2635151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Miami (OH) RedHawks53c6,212$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.115238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Eastern Michigan Eagles52c5,029$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.4384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Eastern Michigan Eagles47c4,238$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.639845.9%45 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32c4…4e39backed Eastern Michigan Eagles49c3,421$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcd…7ab2backed Eastern Michigan Eagles48c2,716$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.711973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks48c2,341$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.645,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1615858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.45,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Eastern Michigan Eagles52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles49c687.81$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.0379448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles49c606.89$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3824847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles49c606.89$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3734746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles54c594.78$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.182045%9 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24013936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles42c495.74$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2134343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Eastern Michigan Eagles50c461.01$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0189850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Eastern Michigan Eagles53c374.07$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.261,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed Miami (OH) RedHawks52c283.78$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.54643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Eastern Michigan Eagles49c207.76$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.756248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles49c202.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Miami (OH) RedHawks48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1047042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Eastern Michigan Eagles52c177.44$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2763551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks47c169.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.782,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Eastern Michigan Eagles52c155.43$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5210252%53 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Eastern Michigan Eagles54c148.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.31,16255.2%641 W · 521 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c61…c54fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks65c125.31$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Eastern Michigan Eagles49c121.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4812655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c113.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.172,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles35c107.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.515356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5683350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Eastern Michigan Eagles48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5234952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Eastern Michigan Eagles49c99.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5738351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c97.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.594,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Eastern Michigan Eagles53c93.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5630853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks46c79.65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0245351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Miami (OH) RedHawks48c69.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0819445.9%89 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Eastern Michigan Eagles41c64.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3570936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfae1…7bb6backed Miami (OH) RedHawks47c52.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.951973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles53c48.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles48c45.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6529650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Eastern Michigan Eagles50c39.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8318439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Eastern Michigan Eagles55c39.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.814042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks48c35.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.565246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca4…817ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles50c29.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks48c22.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7943…29b4backed Eastern Michigan Eagles50c20.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.