Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf80ba53f1a856ad3ba416dcedfe2f802487dff486376b348931e28ab45949e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof The Citadel Bulldogs, Furman Paladins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 11c | 7,736$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.42 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 15c | 2,047$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.13 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 6c | 2,038$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 7c | 1,483$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 7c | 1,299$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 9c | 1,239$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…48dfbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 9c | 1,157$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 12c | 1,055$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 4c | 724.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…41e8backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 8c | 610.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 9c | 553.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…d4b1backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 15c | 425.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 8c | 414.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 8c | 408.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 9c | 348.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…be9abacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 10c | 306.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 8c | 298.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 9c | 288.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 8c | 217.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 10c | 211.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 9c | 208.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 8c | 199.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 8c | 199.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 11c | 198.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 16c | 187.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 8c | 180.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…4b40backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 7c | 153.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 9c | 150.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…49d2backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 15c | 147.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 14c | 124.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 14c | 113.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 12c | 101.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 12c | 94.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 15c | 79.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladinsthis page
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.