Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3312569a0669a5060f617dda017e1c35c4436795268dd17dea6dfdc60b95524e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.97 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 2,354$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.57 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.9 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 1,487$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 51c | 1,487$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 51c | 953.12$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.03 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 51c | 475.72$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.87 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 468.52$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.57 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Over | 76c | 417.06$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.96 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 384.61$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 24c | 330.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.41 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Under | 51c | 310.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 251.92$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 29c | 217.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…4108backed Over | 53c | 112.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 67c | 111.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 20c | 85.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 51c | 74.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 42.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 42.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 51c | 28.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…d8f4backed Under | 65c | 27.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 26.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 52c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Under | 51c | 23.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 142.5this page
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Furman PaladinsFurman Paladins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.