Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79dcdf545c330d89fb88f59cb229d7b961cd595cc4956122db89e98bb82632c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Michigan Broncosof Western Michigan Broncos, Bowling Green Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 1,594$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.74 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 996.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.75 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Western Michigan Broncos | 11c | 870.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.17 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…41e8backed Western Michigan Broncos | 30c | 817.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.55 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Michigan Broncos | 33c | 558.06$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Michigan Broncos | 16c | 499.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.67 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 468.33$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.72 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Western Michigan Broncos | 33c | 460.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.64 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 453.52$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.7 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bowling Green Falcons | 46c | 433.2$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.13 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Western Michigan Broncos | 13c | 383.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.29 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 371.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.1 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Bowling Green Falcons | 70c | 354.77$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.34 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Bowling Green Falcons | 23c | 337.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bowling Green Falcons | 58c | 336.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 199.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.36 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 196.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 76c | 181.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 166.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bowling Green Falcons | 56c | 159.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed Bowling Green Falcons | 68c | 154.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Michigan Broncos | 13c | 124.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 99.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 12c | 98.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 13c | 79.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Western Michigan Broncos | 13c | 77.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 56c | 53.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 71c | 51.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Western Michigan Broncos | 34c | 36.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Bowling Green Falcons | 67c | 20.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 69c | 17.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 68c | 15.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…d4b1backed Bowling Green Falcons | 67c | 15.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falconsthis page
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-11.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-12.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 149.5Over won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.