TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida State Seminoles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami Hurricanesof Miami Hurricanes, Florida State Seminoles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,060 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x00ff…f7adbacked Florida State Seminoles44c3,338$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.2611252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Miami Hurricanes57c3,006$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3072,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Miami Hurricanes57c1,480$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.2574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida State Seminoles31c1,317$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.111,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Florida State Seminoles44c1,305$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.221,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami Hurricanes56c1,275$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5612,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca28…54a7backed Miami Hurricanes58c1,089$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.283363.6%21 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Miami Hurricanes76c1,058$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.634057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Miami Hurricanes66c958.69$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.612,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Miami Hurricanes57c954.52$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.521,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Florida State Seminoles22c942.4$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.23,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Florida State Seminoles15c830$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.55820.7%12 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Miami Hurricanes59c733.73$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4713342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Florida State Seminoles43c696.52$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.432138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Miami Hurricanes72c694.01$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5743450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Florida State Seminoles43c618.9$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.1225043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Florida State Seminoles37c611.68$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4781528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Florida State Seminoles16c600.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.011,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami Hurricanes63c598.03$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.425,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Florida State Seminoles44c579.46$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.961936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Miami Hurricanes57c526.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3134746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Florida State Seminoles43c473.56$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6325544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Miami Hurricanes56c473.36$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.281,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Florida State Seminoles44c447.89$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.072,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Florida State Seminoles43c346.79$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.795350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Florida State Seminoles42c330.85$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Hurricanes57c298.42$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.321,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Miami Hurricanes58c292.75$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.242,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Miami Hurricanes58c273.65$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.931,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Miami Hurricanes59c250.06$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.325100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Florida State Seminoles42c249.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Miami Hurricanes57c243.91$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.851,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Florida State Seminoles43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1913743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Florida State Seminoles45c220.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1345351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a84…7a8ebacked Florida State Seminoles43c208.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.633452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Florida State Seminoles42c199.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Miami Hurricanes62c199.89$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9614151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Miami Hurricanes58c189.04$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9836535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Hurricanes57c188.37$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Miami Hurricanes74c181.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.644544.4%20 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Florida State Seminoles35c177.58$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.151,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Florida State Seminoles43c156.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.921,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Florida State Seminoles29c151.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles29c148.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.515,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida State Seminoles31c120.44$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.371,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Florida State Seminoles43c116.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6a…1985backed Florida State Seminoles44c113.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.73195.3%1 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-87.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Florida State Seminoles32c107.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9930945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Miami Hurricanes66c106.2$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3287047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Miami Hurricanes70c106.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Florida State Seminoles35c104.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed Miami Hurricanes57c102.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.136555.4%36 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Miami Hurricanes61c99.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.683718.9%7 W · 30 L-9.6wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Miami Hurricanes57c99.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.638444%37 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Florida State Seminoles41c94.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6930649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Miami Hurricanes58c85.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.935646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida State Seminoles36c69.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.814,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Miami Hurricanes70c68.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.816549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Florida State Seminoles42c68.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1935650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Florida State Seminoles39c62.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.693,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florida State Seminoles26c62.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.271,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Florida State Seminoles42c62.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2312846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Florida State Seminoles36c59.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4657655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Florida State Seminoles42c59.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.793151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8542…4fc5backed Florida State Seminoles43c58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Florida State Seminoles35c56.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4870936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed Florida State Seminoles44c54.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.17128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.30per pick38cpaid-81.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Florida State Seminoles44c54.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.793336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80df…87fcbacked Florida State Seminoles45c53.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Florida State Seminoles42c50.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.255433.3%18 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Florida State Seminoles42c50.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.255623.2%13 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Miami Hurricanes58c49.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Miami Hurricanes58c42.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9549849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Florida State Seminoles44c33.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.877865.4%51 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x001f…4c4abacked Miami Hurricanes62c31.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.162665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7955…6c53backed Florida State Seminoles43c30.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ca…b6dbbacked Miami Hurricanes58c27.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Florida State Seminoles39c26.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.326352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Florida State Seminoles42c26.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0258652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf204…6734backed Miami Hurricanes58c26.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Florida State Seminoles42c25.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9915066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Florida State Seminoles44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9543053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…a1f1backed Florida State Seminoles43c24.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a24…be88backed Florida State Seminoles43c23.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cec…7c61backed Miami Hurricanes58c19.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.338446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Miami Hurricanes56c19.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.432951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.