Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6bec6d02a3da3dcfab30a020cbf87771a7c29116b8d513cae75f169229cef9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Hurricanesof Miami Hurricanes, Florida State Seminoles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.95 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Florida State Seminoles | 50c | 2,385$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.51 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 50c | 1,423$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.72 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Florida State Seminoles | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 49c | 441.26$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 395.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 242.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Florida State Seminoles | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Florida State Seminoles | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 161.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 118.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 99.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Florida State Seminoles | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Florida State Seminoles | 49c | 97.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 88.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Florida State Seminoles | 50c | 50.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Miami Hurricanes | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 40.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked Florida State Seminoles | 52c | 25.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-2.5)this page
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida State SeminolesMiami Hurricanes won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.