TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan State Spartansof Ohio State Buckeyes, Michigan State Spartans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes17c16,444$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.5289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Michigan State Spartans76c4,840$3,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.7949345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Ohio State Buckeyes2c4,775$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Ohio State Buckeyes13c3,982$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.928817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes27c3,927$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.974,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes16c3,846$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.3630249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Michigan State Spartans67c3,466$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.415,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Michigan State Spartans72c3,443$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.982,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Ohio State Buckeyes25c3,228$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.491,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Ohio State Buckeyes35c2,099$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.8624444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Ohio State Buckeyes32c2,094$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66031646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34e4…6299backed Michigan State Spartans78c1,700$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Ohio State Buckeyes18c1,486$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0117627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes38c1,446$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.481,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Michigan State Spartans70c1,212$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.6110451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Ohio State Buckeyes18c1,115$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ohio State Buckeyes21c1,103$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Ohio State Buckeyes18c1,100$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19825325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Michigan State Spartans66c1,065$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.082748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Michigan State Spartans69c1,061$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10dd…4831backed Michigan State Spartans72c1,003$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ohio State Buckeyes32c767.37$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.993,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Ohio State Buckeyes9c750.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes23c649.78$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.297451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes27c614.49$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.742740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ohio State Buckeyes30c613.09$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.433,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Ohio State Buckeyes30c591.06$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Michigan State Spartans71c562.03$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.035550.9%28 W · 27 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Ohio State Buckeyes27c486.8$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0434343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes16c435.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan State Spartans74c425.01$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.764,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Michigan State Spartans75c399$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Ohio State Buckeyes16c323$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2961446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ohio State Buckeyes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Ohio State Buckeyes18c314.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6912141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Ohio State Buckeyes28c312.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.511439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Ohio State Buckeyes24c308.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Ohio State Buckeyes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Ohio State Buckeyes16c299.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4316436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x289d…ed57backed Michigan State Spartans70c283$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.21757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Ohio State Buckeyes26c226.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.686842.6%29 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Michigan State Spartans67c225.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88d…2750backed Ohio State Buckeyes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1770…a2acbacked Ohio State Buckeyes32c212.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Ohio State Buckeyes25c210.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8910347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Ohio State Buckeyes23c206.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Ohio State Buckeyes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Michigan State Spartans61c186.33$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1636535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Michigan State Spartans79c163.87$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Michigan State Spartans78c156.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.415158.8%30 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Ohio State Buckeyes21c131.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5823941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Ohio State Buckeyes16c128.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Michigan State Spartans74c125.38$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.896566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e0…ee84backed Ohio State Buckeyes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michigan State Spartans79c122.22$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.423,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Ohio State Buckeyes29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ohio State Buckeyes31c117.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.711,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Ohio State Buckeyes18c105.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Michigan State Spartans63c103.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.177350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan State Spartans69c103.17$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.071,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Ohio State Buckeyes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1838837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Ohio State Buckeyes34c99.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.971,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes16c96.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.412,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Ohio State Buckeyes17c93.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9730649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Michigan State Spartans71c90.79$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.337656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michigan State Spartans68c86.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Ohio State Buckeyes20c84.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5714049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…cdc6backed Ohio State Buckeyes18c81.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Michigan State Spartans61c79.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.772,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Michigan State Spartans75c72.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.111,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Ohio State Buckeyes17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.96025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked Ohio State Buckeyes26c59.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Ohio State Buckeyes19c52.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0542339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4723…5687backed Ohio State Buckeyes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf50…491bbacked Michigan State Spartans68c48.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Michigan State Spartans67c42.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f0…6ab9backed Michigan State Spartans64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.062065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Michigan State Spartans74c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0433445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b9…60d0backed Ohio State Buckeyes39c37.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Ohio State Buckeyes42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Michigan State Spartans79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Michigan State Spartans62c20.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a26…7189backed Michigan State Spartans66c16.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.492222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.