TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05f0…6ab9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tim Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Joselyne Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+182%+$62.64
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kyler Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.21
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Jasmine Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$11.57
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$23.27
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.63
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$31.33
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$12.21
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Amanda Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chris Curtis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+66.8%+$18.54
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Sumudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$20.41
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+383.3%+$46
UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$13.04
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.36
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$55.93
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-4.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+89.1%+$26.51
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.4%+$32.28
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-8.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.37
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
Arizona Wildcats vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+73.1%+$19.86
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-4.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.65
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.8%+$26.46
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-3.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$49.56
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$18
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-8.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.57
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.63
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$67.07
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.51
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.98
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Seattle Mariners vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+151.1%+$67.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.