Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x825d1beb00ee6a7ee02e94fb27a82fc5904b831424904fadd8af48dbf882bd3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Seton Hall Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,126 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 1,980$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.29 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 48c | 1,245$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 840.05$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.42 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 680.27$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.94 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 510$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 432.37$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 425.08$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. John's Red Storm | 47c | 291.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 254.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Seton Hall Pirates | 46c | 240.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 220.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seton Hall Pirates | 54c | 197.12$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 131.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Seton Hall Pirates | 47c | 95.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 95.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 87.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Seton Hall Pirates | 48c | 72.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 71.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 69.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 44c | 65.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 60.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 59.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…6ab9backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 56.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 53.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 53.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Seton Hall Pirates | 47c | 30.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 26.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. John's Red Storm | 46c | 24.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 19.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-4.5)this page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall PiratesSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 135.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 136.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 137.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.