Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x796d065048d23c7fde1d295cdc67bef603c8c7504baa3ddd753b09082389ade2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Seton Hall Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,468 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 2,163$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.61 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. John's Red Storm | 45c | 1,924$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.98 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 563.52$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.03 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 45c | 558$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed St. John's Red Storm | 47c | 316.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Seton Hall Pirates | 75c | 266.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 262.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 208.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 154.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 133.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seton Hall Pirates | 50c | 127.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 104.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. John's Red Storm | 43c | 73.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 66.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Seton Hall Pirates | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed St. John's Red Storm | 47c | 44.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed St. John's Red Storm | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 37.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 32.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)this page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-4.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall PiratesSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 135.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 136.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 137.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.