Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe43c6708450945bb77c746e1b7c8fa27a9b10c27dabe891ffdda983eaa2ee05d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,228 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 57c | 1,573$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.97 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 50c | 388.64$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 44c | 361.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 340.01$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 43c | 292.47$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 266.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 44c | 248.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 195$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Over | 50c | 172.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 163$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 48c | 157.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 58c | 126.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 125.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 42c | 121.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 43c | 118.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 43c | 117.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 111.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 44c | 110.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 42c | 104.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 46c | 102.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 51c | 97.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 94.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 43c | 89.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 79.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…e3e3backed Under | 51c | 61.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 43c | 49.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 46.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 42c | 41.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 43c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 137.5this page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-4.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall PiratesSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 135.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 136.5Over won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.