MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae58061802278a36c2a3df59f61a20c27be71595de7ec0a00688e2ab44e9cb2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 7,938$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.47 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 2,827$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.68 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 2,608$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.92 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 2,602$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.98 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 2,515$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.58 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 2,222$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.36 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 2,204$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.53 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,500$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 1,490$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.28 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 1,437$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.15 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 973.37$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 677.56$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.68 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 664.81$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.44 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 526.76$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 488.28$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 434.77$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 409.79$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 398.35$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 390.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 295.45$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 293.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 259.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 256.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 250.75$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 234.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 202.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 152.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 135.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 131.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…b79fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 107.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…68fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 99.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 84.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 84.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…178abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 72.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 65.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 58.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 56.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 56.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 52.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 42.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 36.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…b448backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 31.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…6ab9backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 27.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 26.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 23.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15f…a199backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 22.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…20a3backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 21.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca0…a4abbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 162 | 56.2%91 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c9…9aaebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington NationalsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 18.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.