TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ca0…a4ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$14.51
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33.6
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.67
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Kentucky Wildcats vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.02
All 5 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+48.1%+$10.1
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$17.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Paderborn 07 vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.