NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x609ddd64708c6482fe6956dbdc78bd27a86a334f61b06c611e144cd8b73ace85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Blue Jackets, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $499,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 256,954$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Capitals | 61c | 183,685$111,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,774.14 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Capitals | 64c | 112,434$71,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,572.65 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 74,938$26,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,977.54 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Blue Jackets | 21c | 39,247$8,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,241.45 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Capitals | 62c | 22,703$14,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,627.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 79c | 16,326$12,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.93 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 15,733$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.24 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 61c | 8,007$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.3 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 62c | 7,912$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.53 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.98 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 5,825$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.75 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 61c | 5,592$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Capitals | 63c | 4,945$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.34 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Capitals | 63c | 4,764$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.81 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 70c | 4,760$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.25 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Capitals | 63c | 4,069$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.66 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 3,698$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.28 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Capitals | 62c | 3,273$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.22 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Capitals | 62c | 3,225$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.5 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 61c | 3,000$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 61c | 2,989$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.8 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 63c | 2,751$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.97 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 63c | 2,500$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.55 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 62c | 2,345$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.85 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 64c | 2,222$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.92 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 63c | 2,094$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.87 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Capitals | 63c | 2,010$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.74 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Capitals | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…6c34backed Capitals | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 1,892$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Capitals | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Capitals | 62c | 1,529$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.97 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 1,427$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 1,416$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.75 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…c052backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 1,337$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jackets | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,098$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.13 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 63c | 1,092$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.86 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Blue Jackets | 21c | 986.9$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blue Jackets | 28c | 839$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.04 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 62c | 810.92$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Capitals | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 71c | 750$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 727$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Capitals | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98a…8d9abacked Capitals | 65c | 697$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals | 62c | 677$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.26 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Capitals | 63c | 673.02$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.02 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Capitals | 62c | 645.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…6567backed Capitals | 65c | 640$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 600.42$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.21 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Capitals | 62c | 600$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Capitals | 63c | 562.41$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.09 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Blue Jackets | 3c | 552.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals | 63c | 542$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.54 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Capitals | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed Capitals | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jackets | 25c | 474.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 427.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Blue Jackets | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Blue Jackets | 9c | 401.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Capitals | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 63c | 394.18$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Blue Jackets | 38c | 370$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Capitals | 63c | 369.04$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.54 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 347.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Capitals | 62c | 322$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Capitals | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 65c | 317$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 303$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Capitals | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Capitals | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Capitals | 63c | 277.78$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Capitals | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Blue Jackets | 27c | 224$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Blue Jackets | 39c | 209.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 208.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blue Jackets | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…5c1cbacked Blue Jackets | 38c | 197.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 73c | 184.91$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Blue Jackets | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Capitals | 77c | 180.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…a18dbacked Blue Jackets | 38c | 156.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Capitals | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…b468backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 152.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Capitalsthis page
- Blue Jackets vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.