Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kentucky Wildcats vs. St. John's Red Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a0acfdbd7804476cbda1e560e44bc9e15e04c560fbba493a8ec4b922dd3418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentucky Wildcatsof Kentucky Wildcats, St. John's Red Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Kentucky Wildcats | 62c | 6,182$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.7 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Kentucky Wildcats | 44c | 4,323$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.06 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed St. John's Red Storm | 11c | 2,895$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.67 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. John's Red Storm | 20c | 1,845$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.31 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed St. John's Red Storm | 56c | 1,777$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.2 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. John's Red Storm | 21c | 1,613$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.19 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed St. John's Red Storm | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked St. John's Red Storm | 55c | 959$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.85 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. John's Red Storm | 68c | 894.2$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.91 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed St. John's Red Storm | 72c | 800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 31c | 615.7$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.36 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 417.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Kentucky Wildcats | 44c | 398.65$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.65 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 45c | 397.07$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed St. John's Red Storm | 66c | 391.03$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed St. John's Red Storm | 56c | 321$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm | 60c | 308.78$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 305.52$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 43c | 277$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed St. John's Red Storm | 56c | 259.82$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed St. John's Red Storm | 21c | 250.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. John's Red Storm | 44c | 225.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Kentucky Wildcats | 46c | 217.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed St. John's Red Storm | 28c | 214.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kentucky Wildcats | 60c | 212.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 211$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked St. John's Red Storm | 62c | 200.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed St. John's Red Storm | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…cc4cbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed St. John's Red Storm | 62c | 172.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed St. John's Red Storm | 55c | 154.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kentucky Wildcats | 52c | 146.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 103.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed St. John's Red Storm | 24c | 100.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed St. John's Red Storm | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed St. John's Red Storm | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 90.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kentucky Wildcats | 42c | 79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 21c | 67.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed St. John's Red Storm | 71c | 61.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…e9fabacked St. John's Red Storm | 60c | 50.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Kentucky Wildcats | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 32c | 46.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Kentucky Wildcats | 39c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca0…a4abbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Kentucky Wildcats | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed St. John's Red Storm | 55c | 32.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed St. John's Red Storm | 69c | 31.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Kentucky Wildcats | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Kentucky Wildcats | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Kentucky Wildcats | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. John's Red Storm | 65c | 18.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed St. John's Red Storm | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. St. John's Red Stormthis page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 153.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 155.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.