TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71c9…cc4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$285
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$740
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$537.96
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+137%+$289
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+112.8%+$265
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$255
James Madison vs. Oregon: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$156
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$593.64
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+144.9%+$139.05
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+334.8%+$385
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+163.2%+$186
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Bills vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.85
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$22
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+361.5%+$1,410
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$385.47
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$195
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$28.7
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+103.3%+$62.37
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky Wildcats vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.4%+$156.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$36.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$99.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$214.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.