NFL · resolved market

Bills vs. Browns

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88a1edad9dc7b77efb8fb0b9ffc09aa6f112342cad5dfe3a6475eb99599c30ed

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Billsof Bills, Browns
Resolved: Dec 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,691,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,959,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,691,056 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Browns	18c	951,467$168,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168,654.91	111	45.9%51 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Browns	15c	146,819$22,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,569.75	100	26%26 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Browns	18c	137,668$24,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,780.23	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Browns	11c	136,318$15,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,064.72	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Browns	17c	53,111$9,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,028.88	195	53.8%105 W · 90 L	+16.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Browns	5c	43,239$2,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,176.14	232	44.4%103 W · 129 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Browns	8c	42,496$3,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,328.11	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Browns	10c	26,150$2,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,638.88	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Browns	8c	23,829$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009.54	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Browns	5c	15,888$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.39	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Browns	13c	12,674$1,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,651.68	192	35.4%68 W · 124 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Browns	24c	11,152$2,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,631.61	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Browns	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	129	34.9%45 W · 84 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Browns	8c	9,671$744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.44	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Browns	7c	8,928$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.28	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+5.9wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Browns	17c	8,243$1,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,401.35	143	42%60 W · 83 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Browns	1c	8,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	333	28.5%95 W · 238 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Browns	18c	7,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Browns	19c	6,058$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,159.91	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Browns	14c	5,488$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.49	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Browns	14c	5,084$722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.77	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Bills	74c	5,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked Browns	4c	5,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a9…9a69backed Browns	8c	4,631$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.45	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Browns	17c	4,500$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765	265	47.2%125 W · 140 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Browns	18c	4,444$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Browns	16c	4,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Browns	10c	3,796$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.98	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Browns	15c	3,624$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.17	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Browns	5c	3,573$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.67	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Browns	16c	3,553$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.49	320	50.9%163 W · 157 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Browns	2c	3,060$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	98	0%0 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Browns	4c	2,802$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.54	196	9.2%18 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Browns	13c	2,792$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Browns	17c	2,659$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.79	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x960f…1159backed Browns	10c	2,642$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Browns	17c	2,625$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.28	392	42.6%167 W · 225 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Browns	17c	2,589$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.08	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Browns	6c	2,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	200	39.5%79 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Browns	18c	2,500$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Browns	1c	2,122$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	431	1.6%7 W · 424 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Browns	15c	2,110$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.48	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Browns	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	224	46.4%104 W · 120 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0d9…ca67backed Browns	25c	1,700$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+4.4wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Browns	16c	1,619$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.4	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-67%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Browns	8c	1,594$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.78	488	47.5%232 W · 256 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Browns	17c	1,500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	75	30.7%23 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb924…0886backed Browns	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	151	32.5%49 W · 102 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Browns	7c	1,347$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.28	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Browns	10c	1,327$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.73	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6cc7…cf77backed Browns	26c	1,293$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.79	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Browns	5c	1,253$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.94	195	43.6%85 W · 110 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Browns	13c	1,225$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.75	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Browns	15c	1,200$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Browns	17c	1,200$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	276	33.3%92 W · 184 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7c1b…2527backed Bills	79c	1,200$946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe5…2b7cbacked Bills	78c	1,186$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.9	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…bbb1backed Browns	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b89…693cbacked Browns	24c	1,101$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Browns	16c	1,068$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.91	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Bills	75c	1,016$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.55	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+6.8wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Browns	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Browns	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Browns	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	89	21.3%19 W · 70 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Browns	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-6.2wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Browns	2c	999.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	101	3%3 W · 98 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x622a…2b59backed Browns	17c	999.95$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…99fbbacked Browns	10c	978.81$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.45	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Browns	11c	966$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x153d…cae2backed Browns	15c	923.95$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.2	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Browns	9c	917.3$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.08	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Browns	12c	904.67$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.31	310	56.8%176 W · 134 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23df…c7a8backed Bills	78c	901.2$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.2	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Browns	9c	882.27$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.29	165	51.5%85 W · 80 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x714c…f68dbacked Browns	4c	800$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	84	32.1%27 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Browns	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Browns	17c	685.82$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.59	240	54.6%131 W · 109 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Browns	8c	668$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.44	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x069c…3d49backed Browns	10c	630.74$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.21	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Browns	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1945…5ba1backed Browns	8c	612.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.94	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Browns	11c	600$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	23cpaid	+65.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Browns	18c	600$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eab…b026backed Browns	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-63%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Browns	6c	574.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.95	142	15.5%22 W · 120 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Browns	7c	571.42$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.86	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x290f…7e47backed Bills	74c	540$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.4	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Browns	12c	537.32$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.41	138	45.7%63 W · 75 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b35…a23cbacked Bills	73c	513.55$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.66	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Browns	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	266	48.9%130 W · 136 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Browns	16c	492.01$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	136	52.2%71 W · 65 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e4…b96fbacked Browns	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8da…f944backed Browns	6c	440.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.54	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38b9…1cb4backed Browns	4c	434.07$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bills	74c	433.42$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.69	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-11.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce6…7dc7backed Browns	17c	432$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.44	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc5…5fcbbacked Bills	74c	405.41$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.41	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+7.2wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e0a…69d3backed Browns	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Bills	76c	400$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8bd…56b6backed Browns	5c	392.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bills vs. Browns

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event