Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x162a7c6b857ad5652f1693980f68806f83bcd3d65b5e1c3f5467100b41682740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 52c | 3,405$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.4 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,874$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…cc4cbacked Over | 56c | 355.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 46c | 312$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d05…a9cabacked Under | 44c | 280$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 50c | 171$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6661…c5c7backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…dac8backed Under | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc603…3b67backed Under | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 144.5this page
- Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.