Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45b3afa7171c25505438474d8eca31c9f9a1069316a096e1e0eebb4c1a9cb01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 11c | 8,482$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,532.71 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…64ecbacked No | 1c | 7,116$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,881$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed No | 4c | 3,865$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4c…4067backed Yes | 20c | 2,138$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +406.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 77c | 2,059$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed No | 3c | 1,930$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…1db6backed No | 80c | 1,766$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…c6b0backed No | 70c | 1,755$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 1,645$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 80c | 1,532$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 32c | 1,344$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.37 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 41c | 1,316$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.66 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 33c | 1,227$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 22c | 1,026$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…a2f3backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 21c | 999.28$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 67c | 845.64$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 66c | 800$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.2 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 23c | 800$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 28c | 707.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 55c | 690.47$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.66 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 8c | 636.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 22c | 635.28$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…14bcbacked No | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…ed86backed Yes | 32c | 580$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…17d7backed Yes | 19c | 517.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +158.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.5 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 16c | 500$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…081fbacked No | 76c | 500$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 33c | 409.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 406.53$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 18c | 400.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.53 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 43c | 399.61$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 12c | 379.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.97 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 22c | 361.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.82 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 343$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.53 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 73c | 310$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.3 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae2…8c70backed Yes | 22c | 260.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 42c | 245.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…ffe1backed Yes | 18c | 240.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 36c | 239.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 21c | 230.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.92 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 35c | 224.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 213.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 75c | 194.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked Yes | 18c | 175.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ae…c6e0backed Yes | 19c | 170.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…cc4cbacked Yes | 35c | 141.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 138.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…f50ebacked No | 56c | 137.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…7cc7backed Yes | 11c | 131.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…bdf5backed Yes | 15c | 129.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +204.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 33c | 126.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…75e6backed Yes | 12c | 115.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…d179backed Yes | 12c | 115.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f5…cd2ebacked No | 80c | 106$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 31c | 103.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 10c | 101.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 50c | 100.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…6667backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +367.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…41d2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +98%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…48c4backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…c333backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…9cb3backed Yes | 24c | 99.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 20c | 98.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…b6aabacked Yes | 26c | 96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +220.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 79c | 94.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 90.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 28c | 81.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 30c | 72.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…c139backed Yes | 21c | 70.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…1c3dbacked No | 72c | 69.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 22c | 68.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…72b6backed Yes | 19c | 66.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked No | 70c | 57.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…9465backed No | 72c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0511…3069backed Yes | 18c | 55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +446.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 80c | 54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked No | 64c | 53.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2864…8527backed No | 78c | 44.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4b…3f71backed No | 72c | 41.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 72c | 41.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed No | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d72backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Curtis Sliwa get between 10% and 13% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa get between 13% and 16% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa get between 16% and 19% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa get between 19% and 22% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa get between 22% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Curtis Sliwa get more than 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.