TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95a1…7cc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$21.13
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.03
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+773.8%+$116.06
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.38
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+49.3%+$8.87
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+170.8%+$68.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+60.8%+$9.13
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.66
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.38
Grokipedia released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.65
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-78.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump say "Hotel" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$90.56
Will Trump say "9/11" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.04
Will Trump say "Epstein" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+219.2%+$21.92
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.31
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+107.4%+$21.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+141.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-60.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+100.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+36.1%+$14.42
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$22.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+130.7%+$22.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.9%+$11.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.