Earnings · resolved market
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe50610dbcdfe6b09107a8418d5daa66ceb1b42eabd8abf99d95a4acf55fbff8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42f1…4a12backed No | 69c | 15,071$10,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 30c | 6,909$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.87 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…974ebacked No | 65c | 4,844$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.36 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 27c | 2,133$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.68 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…ab24backed No | 66c | 2,011$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 52c | 1,934$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…28dfbacked Yes | 27c | 1,370$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 70c | 1,273$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.51 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57ac…2d85backed Yes | 29c | 1,253$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.79 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…7961backed Yes | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 27c | 969.58$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.22 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 66c | 777$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…51e0backed No | 60c | 754.11$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 50c | 648$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 39c | 637.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 35c | 590.03$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.39 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x087c…4a76backed Yes | 54c | 555.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2535…053fbacked Yes | 37c | 538.25$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 39c | 517.07$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 29c | 500$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 25c | 500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 43c | 488.21$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…017abacked Yes | 42c | 478.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 25c | 444.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed Yes | 39c | 420$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Yes | 29c | 390$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked No | 62c | 378.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 54c | 368.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 29c | 366$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 39c | 360$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 41c | 313$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…c348backed No | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…9d2bbacked Yes | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 64c | 295.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…55b0backed Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 26c | 234.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…7885backed Yes | 43c | 233.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa007…777abacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Yes | 44c | 227.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 21c | 213.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 60c | 199.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 11c | 181$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 11c | 181$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 57c | 175.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked Yes | 62c | 175.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 75c | 158.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 65c | 154.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…5b58backed No | 43c | 153.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 25c | 150$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 142$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 44c | 137.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 57c | 134.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 76c | 132$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…ad59backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…0975backed Yes | 39c | 128.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…822fbacked Yes | 63c | 117.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…5716backed Yes | 44c | 117.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked No | 27c | 111.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 105.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 74c | 105.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7478backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…36cdbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 63c | 96.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 89.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…57f5backed Yes | 39c | 75.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…4aa5backed Yes | 40c | 75.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbf…79f6backed No | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…ff50backed Yes | 43c | 70.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…ea78backed No | 60c | 69.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…eb65backed No | 64c | 62.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 53c | 55.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…5270backed Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…6614backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…7739backed No | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…ce30backed Yes | 31c | 45.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…7afdbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…7cc7backed Yes | 35c | 42.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d8…0af3backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 48c | 35.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…0bb8backed No | 60c | 33.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…cd92backed Yes | 77c | 32.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…a82bbacked Yes | 62c | 32.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.