NFL · resolved market
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1afd194d763de2bd7abda05e00e517ad0d85b1bb12339dcbe05ccd8b5e0de0de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 72c | 37,117$26,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,261.18 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…82cfbacked Yes | 20c | 12,759$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,258.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +223.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9f…f77bbacked Yes | 19c | 11,900$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,627.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 33c | 10,578$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Yes | 67c | 10,023$6,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.72 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 49c | 9,821$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 68c | 9,785$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.19 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…a00bbacked No | 58c | 7,481$4,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 28c | 7,061$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.01 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…b97bbacked No | 71c | 5,430$3,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 67c | 4,710$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.32 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Yes | 29c | 4,252$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 12c | 4,149$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 52c | 4,116$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 3,552$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.88 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…704cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,838$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…60febacked Yes | 71c | 2,807$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…4a87backed Yes | 68c | 2,542$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 37c | 2,378$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.33 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 17c | 2,345$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…61d1backed Yes | 22c | 2,293$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.79 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 34c | 2,209$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.34 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725c…01a1backed Yes | 2c | 2,192$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.52 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd204…3080backed Yes | 68c | 2,187$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…457abacked Yes | 46c | 2,151$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 55c | 2,109$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.18 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…45a3backed No | 30c | 2,078$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.31 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 48c | 1,997$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…f59dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,859$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +282.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,830$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked No | 22c | 1,828$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 74c | 1,740$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 58c | 1,702$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.56 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,577$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.22 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 63c | 1,558$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.44 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 20c | 1,555$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 47c | 1,547$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 66c | 1,524$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.66 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 37c | 1,505$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.46 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1811…789dbacked No | 33c | 1,479$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4260…f180backed Yes | 68c | 1,461$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed Yes | 67c | 1,450$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.35 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 44c | 1,442$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 1,439$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.61 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 71c | 1,427$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 12c | 1,415$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.69 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.62 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 43c | 1,339$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 55c | 1,293$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.86 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 19c | 1,261$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.88 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 1,252$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.29 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Yes | 17c | 1,249$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…fc34backed Yes | 70c | 1,220$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…8bb9backed Yes | 62c | 1,206$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 1,175$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.4 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed Yes | 41c | 1,142$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.77 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Yes | 20c | 1,140$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 49c | 1,105$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.66 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 31c | 1,088$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.35 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 31c | 1,065$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.16 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 68c | 1,043$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.26 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…54c7backed Yes | 20c | 1,036$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…fa16backed Yes | 30c | 1,010$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…5521backed Yes | 30c | 983.04$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.3 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Yes | 67c | 930.85$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Yes | 25c | 891.68$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.4 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 42c | 886$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595b…9eeabacked Yes | 69c | 878.6$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Yes | 69c | 874.01$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.81 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 851.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.15 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +167.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 21c | 812.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.86 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…1d81backed Yes | 18c | 798.04$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 35c | 796.03$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.18 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…0103backed Yes | 56c | 783.73$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 54c | 777$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.95 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…4bd3backed Yes | 14c | 762.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.59 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Yes | 45c | 751.19$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.01 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 54c | 741.78$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.25 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…8a41backed Yes | 3c | 727.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.09 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +263.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…23c7backed Yes | 30c | 697.77$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 697.38$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.41 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe528…1511backed Yes | 72c | 690.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Yes | 67c | 643.1$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f52…f489backed Yes | 70c | 618.13$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed No | 30c | 616$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…295fbacked Yes | 71c | 615.17$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.55 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed No | 60c | 610.54$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.97 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Yes | 18c | 599.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 38c | 590.21$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.76 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…b07abacked Yes | 69c | 580.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 19c | 565.51$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.85 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 25c | 558.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.81 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Yes | 70c | 550$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.87 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…34cebacked Yes | 29c | 538.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +242.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6221…12e6backed Yes | 56c | 537.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 36c | 528.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.09 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?this page
- Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Chargers win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Colts win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Jets win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Raiders win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Steelers win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?No won
- Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.